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Within hours of the murder of United Healthcare CEO Brian Thompson in New York City earlier this week, the surveillance video that captured the brazen crime made the rounds across social media. Across X, Reddit and Facebook, the short video was likely analyzed as closely as the footage of the assassination of President John F. Kennedy just over 61 years ago. And like that infamous shooting, the one in Midtown Manhattan has led to no shortage of conspiracy theories that are now making the rounds on the social platforms. Online sleuths offered their unsolicited opinions, while countless "experts" provided unique insight—with some suggesting the murder was carried out by a professional hit man, who not only used a suppressor but likely subsonic ammunition, which necessitated the need to manually operate the handgun's slide. Some even identified the firearm as a Welrod , a British bolt-action, magazine-fed, suppressed pistol devised during the Second World War, while others said it was likely a B&T VP9. Neither is likely the case. Moreover, the professional killer theories were in stark contrast to the New York Police Department's claim that the suspect's firearm had jammed, and he left several clues that could help the investigation. "Experts" Are Quick To Weigh In Armchair generals and Monday morning quarterbacks are all too common in our modern era—they're the individuals who quickly offer opinions after the fact, and typically with the benefit of hindsight. Social media is filled with these so-called experts, many who have built massive followings. As fresh details surrounding Thompson's murder were released, it only served to fuel the online speculation. The case already has the potential to be like a true crime podcast that unfolds in real-time. Yet, it also is clear that there is likely far more misinformation spreading than actual facts. "The amount of information that is out is inconsistent and much of it is inaccurate," said Dr. Dan Ariely, professor of psychology and behavioral economics at Duke University. "This does a very large disservice to society." Ariely warned that in situations like this still ongoing investigation, it has the potential to erode trust in the mainstream media, which often waits for confirmation. Social media by contrast is quick to post, even if the information is wrong. Beyond the fact that an individual was killed on the streets of America's largest city, this casual posting online often lacks perspective, and fact-checking and is too quick to rely on guesswork—and without much of the evidence that the NYPD has access to. "All this speculation is problematic because it sets expectations that may not be met," explained technology industry analyst Rob Enderle of the Enderle Group. "We are making conclusions before we have all the facts and 'Confirmation Bias' tells us that is a bad thing because people will then only recognize facts or theories that are consistent with the position they have already taken," Enderle added. "It is shoot, ready, aim, instead of what should be ready, aim, shoot." Vetting Sources Closer inspection of the video, as well as the shell casings and unspent round that was recovered; it has been determined that the firearm almost certainly used by the assailant wasn't the aforementioned Welrod or B&T VP9. Nor was the ammunition subsonic. Likewise, given that the shooter's movements have been traced—including to a Starbucks, where he bought a bottle of water and energy bars—it would seem that he wasn't likely a professional assassin. Few hit men would likely stop to pick up breakfast and be caught on camera. Still, it is all too easy to forgive those who are quick to post such misinformation, because of a desire to want to know the facts as quickly as they unfold. Newsrooms seek not to be first, but to get it right—whereas on social media there is a race to share that expert insight as quickly as possible. "We have all become expert crime solvers on social media, especially when there is a compelling and surprising crime such as the shooting death of this health insurance executive," said Susan Campbell, distinguished lecturer in the Department of Communication, Film, and Media Studies at the University of New Haven. "There will always be a lag time between new developments and publication of those developments in traditional media because traditional media worth its salt will still take time to vet the facts," Campbell added. "If people want to hear guesses quickly, social media is their platform. If they want to know facts, that takes a little more time." How Conspiracies Are Born The final concern is that the posts on social media will only serve to give rise to unfounded conspiracy theories that are impossible to debunk. Even after more than two decades, some still question the events of 9/11, and after six decades, the assassination of JFK continues to be debated. This is largely harmless, at least until it isn't. "There will also be efforts after facts are collected to ignore those that counter already taken positions," said Enderle. "In effect, this speculation corrupts the process and makes it less likely we'll ever see the truth. So, in general, social speculation doesn't help the process, it corrupts it." While it could impact the ability to bring an individual to justice, it also serves as another divide in our already deeply divided nation. "Sadly, everything is becoming political," said Ariely. "Right now, people aren't coming from the facts, but rather from a specific point of view. We need to figure out how to look at facts rather than identity."

(The Center Square) – Of the many costly security missteps uncovered at the rally site in Butler, Pa. where a would-be assassin nearly killed Donald Trump, one deterrent may have been relatively affordable. Rep. Pat Fallon said the U.S. Secret Service could have fashioned a rudimentary fence made of caution tape, signs, posts and stakes around the AGR building on July 13 for roughly $410. The agency’s decision to unman the outside of the building and exclude it from an overall security perimeter around the Butler Farm Show Grounds that day has drawn much criticism from lawmakers on the task force assembled to investigate both attempts on Trump’s life, the second occurring at a Mar-a-Lago golf course in September. During a heated seven-minute exchange with Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe Jr., the Republican congressman from Texas said the agency’s $2 billion funding increase seemed far in excess of what it would have cost to have functioning drones, more coordinated radio communications, agents on a nearby water tower and security deterrents available in Butler. “What sticks in our craw is when we report to our constituents, we have to say, ‘Hey, this federal agency failed epically, and then they wanted to almost double their budget,’” Fallon said. The conversation devolved into a shouting match after Fallon then accused Rowe of showing up at a 9/11 memorial ceremony in New York City for political purposes only. Rep. Pat Fallon, of Texas, questions Secret Service Acting Director Ronald Rowe Jr. during Congressional task force hearing on the attempted assassination of President-elect Donald Trump in Butler, Pa.